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Ryan McComb
Student, data, forecasting, elections
Education
Evanston Township High School
Expected May 2028
- 3.98 unweighted GPA, 4.47 weighted GPA; National Freshman Honour Society
- Chem/Phys (concurrent enrollment, 3 years); AP Government
Experience
Student Fellow, Data Science & Decision Desk
2025 - Present
VoteHub
- Contributed to the 2026 midterms forecasting model: built a Kalshi market-scoring pipeline that ingests open-interest volume and liquidity data, computes daily percentile-rank scores, and automatically weights markets for inclusion in the aggregate forecast.
- Authored election briefings on primaries and special elections for VoteHub client-facing decision-desk products.
- Decision-desk race calls on primary night; election data pipelines and prediction market integration.
Founder & Data Scientist
Jan 2026 - Mar 2026
IL9Cast
- Built a forecasting aggregator for the IL-9 Democratic primary that synthesizes prediction-market probabilities, polling averages, and FEC filings into a single probability estimate, updated daily.
- Covered in Capitol Fax, the Evanston Roundtable, and the Daily Northwestern.
Volunteer Finance Lead
Sep 2025 - Mar 2026
Daniel Biss for Congress (IL-9)
- Managed end-to-end campaign finance data for a competitive Democratic congressional primary.
- Researched donor information for call-time and prospecting; occasional data support.
Sports Photographer
2024 - Present
Chicago Union (UFA)
- Credentialed photographer covering professional ultimate; game-day photo packages on 24-hour turnaround.
- Canon R8; images used on team social and press channels.
Projects
Project 2028 Podcast
2022 - Present
- Founder and host; politics and policy; produce, edit, and distribute episodes. Listeners in 50+ countries.
ManiFed Markets & Manifold Trading
2023 - Present
- Co-founded ManiFed, a play-money peer-to-peer lending flow on Manifold Markets with bots using mean-reversion and Kelly-style sizing.
- Ranked #50 out of ~160,000 traders by volume; top 0.5% in profit.
Political Science & Policy Project (PSPP)
2020 - 2024
- Political-science blog for four years: game theory, constitutional law, voting theory.
Activities & leadership
- The Evanstonian: staff writer and photographer
- Competitive swimming: ETHS swim team and Flying Fish Swim Club (7-9 sessions per week)
- Federalist Society member
- ETHS student ambassador
Skills & interests
- Technical
- Python, JavaScript, Bayesian analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, quantitative forecasting, prediction markets, data science
- Tools
- Canon R8, Adobe Lightroom, Git, cloud hosting, Manifold Markets API
- Interests
- Constitutional and administrative law, election forecasting, probabilistic reasoning, political photography